Use of the Curtis-Godson approximation in calculations of radiant heating by inhomogeneous hot gases

Curtis-Gordon approximation in calculations of radiant heating by inhomogeneous hot gase

Study of tropical cyclone structural evolution, A

Includes bibliographical references.The destructive potential of a tropical cyclone is highly dependent on both the intensity and size of the storm. There has been extensive research done on intensity and intensity change, but far less work has focused on tropical cyclone structure and structural changes. The recent highly active Atlantic tropical seasons reemphasize the need for a better understanding of tropical cyclone structural evolution. This is particularly true of the 2005 season which produced a number of storms, such as Katrina, Rita, and Wilma, that not only became extremely intense, but also grew substantially in size during intensification. In contrast to these giants are the storms such as Hurricanes Charley (2004) and Emily (2005), which reached equal intensity, but remained fairly small in size. The goal of this study is to gain a better understanding of what causes these different structural evolutions in tropical cyclones. The inner core (0-200 km) wind-fields of Atlantic and Eastern Pacific tropical cyclones from 1995-2005 from aircraft reconnaissance flight-level data is used to calculate the low-level inner core kinetic energy. An inner core kinetic energy-intensity relationship is defined which describes the general trend of tropical cyclone inner core kinetic energy (KE) with respect to intensity. However, this mean KE/intensity relationship does not define the evolution of an individual storm. The KE deviations from the mean relationship for each storm are used to determine the cases where a storm is experiencing significant structural changes. The evolution of the KE deviations from the mean with respect to intensity indicates that hurricanes generally either grow and weaken or maintain their intensity, or strengthen but do not grow at the same time. The data is sorted by the state of intensification (intensifying, weakening, or maintaining intensity) and structure change (growing or non-growing), defining six sub-groups. The dynamic, thermodynamic, and internal conditions for the storm sub-groups are analyzed with the aid of statistical testing in order to determine what conditions are significantly different for growing versus non-growing storms in each intensification regime. These results reveal that there are two primary types of growth processes. The first is through eyewall replacement cycles, an internally dominated process, and the second via external forcing from the synoptic environment. As a supplement to this study, a new tropical cyclone classification system based on inner core KE is presented as a complement to the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale.Funding for this research was sponsored by CIRA activities and participation in the GOES Improved Measurement Product Assurance Plan (GIMPAP) under NOAA cooperative agreement NA17RJ1

Of Some Theoretical Significance: Implications of Casimir Effects

In his autobiography Casimir barely mentioned the Casimir effect, but remarked that it is "of some theortical significance." We will describe some aspects of Casimir effects that appear to be of particular significance now, more than half a century after Casimir's famous paper

Gedanken experiments with Casimir forces, vacuum energy, and gravity

Gedanken experiments are used to explore properties of quantum vacuum energy that are currently challenging to explore experimentally. A constant lateral Casimir force is predicted to exist between two overlapping finite parallel plates at 0 K, otherwise it would be possible to extract an arbitrary amount of energy from the quantum vacuum. A rigid unpowered object cannot be accelerated by the quantum vacuum because of the translational symmetry of space. By considering systems in which vacuum energy and other forms of energy are exchanged, we demonstrate that a change {\Delta}E in vacuum energy, whether positive or negative with respect to the free field, corresponds to an equivalent inertial mass and equivalent gravitational mass {\Delta}M={\Delta}E/c^2. We consider the possibility of a gravitational shield, and show that, if it exists, the energy to operate it would have to cancel the net energy extracted from the gravitational field, otherwise we could extract an arbitrary amount of energy from the field.Comment: 24 pages, 3 figure

DEPLOYR: A technical framework for deploying custom real-time machine learning models into the electronic medical record

Machine learning (ML) applications in healthcare are extensively researched, but successful translations to the bedside are scant. Healthcare institutions are establishing frameworks to govern and promote the implementation of accurate, actionable and reliable models that integrate with clinical workflow. Such governance frameworks require an accompanying technical framework to deploy models in a resource efficient manner. Here we present DEPLOYR, a technical framework for enabling real-time deployment and monitoring of researcher created clinical ML models into a widely used electronic medical record (EMR) system. We discuss core functionality and design decisions, including mechanisms to trigger inference based on actions within EMR software, modules that collect real-time data to make inferences, mechanisms that close-the-loop by displaying inferences back to end-users within their workflow, monitoring modules that track performance of deployed models over time, silent deployment capabilities, and mechanisms to prospectively evaluate a deployed model's impact. We demonstrate the use of DEPLOYR by silently deploying and prospectively evaluating twelve ML models triggered by clinician button-clicks in Stanford Health Care's production instance of Epic. Our study highlights the need and feasibility for such silent deployment, because prospectively measured performance varies from retrospective estimates. By describing DEPLOYR, we aim to inform ML deployment best practices and help bridge the model implementation gap

Casimir Energy For a Massive Dirac Field in One Spatial Dimension: A Direct Approach

In this paper we calculate the Casimir energy for a massive fermionic field confined between two points in one spatial dimension, with the MIT Bag Model boundary condition. We compute the Casimir energy directly by summing over the allowed modes. The method that we use is based on the Boyer's method, and there will be no need to resort to any analytic continuation techniques. We explicitly show the graph of the Casimir energy as a function of the distance between the points and the mass of the fermionic field. We also present a rigorous derivation of the MIT Bag Model boundary condition.Comment: 8 Pages, 4 Figure

The validity of using ICD-9 codes and pharmacy records to identify patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Background: Administrative data is often used to identify patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), yet the validity of this approach is unclear. We sought to develop a predictive model utilizing administrative data to accurately identify patients with COPD. Methods: Sequential logistic regression models were constructed using 9573 patients with postbronchodilator spirometry at two Veterans Affairs medical centers (2003-2007). COPD was defined as: 1) FEV1/FVC <0.70, and 2) FEV1/FVC < lower limits of normal. Model inputs included age, outpatient or inpatient COPD-related ICD-9 codes, and the number of metered does inhalers (MDI) prescribed over the one year prior to and one year post spirometry. Model performance was assessed using standard criteria. Results: 4564 of 9573 patients (47.7%) had an FEV1/FVC < 0.70. The presence of ≥1 outpatient COPD visit had a sensitivity of 76% and specificity of 67%; the AUC was 0.75 (95% CI 0.74-0.76). Adding the use of albuterol MDI increased the AUC of this model to 0.76 (95% CI 0.75-0.77) while the addition of ipratropium bromide MDI increased the AUC to 0.77 (95% CI 0.76-0.78). The best performing model included: ≥6 albuterol MDI, ≥3 ipratropium MDI, ≥1 outpatient ICD-9 code, ≥1 inpatient ICD-9 code, and age, achieving an AUC of 0.79 (95% CI 0.78-0.80). Conclusion: Commonly used definitions of COPD in observational studies misclassify the majority of patients as having COPD. Using multiple diagnostic codes in combination with pharmacy data improves the ability to accurately identify patients with COPD.Department of Veterans Affairs, Health Services Research and Development (DHA), American Lung Association (CI- 51755-N) awarded to DHA, the American Thoracic Society Fellow Career Development AwardPeer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/84155/1/Cooke - ICD9 validity in COPD.pd

Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Effects beyond the Lungs

Peter Barnes discusses the growing epidemic of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), especially in developing countries and among nonsmokers

Filled pauses in Hungarian: Their phonetic form and function

Filled pauses are natural occurrences in spontaneous speech and they may turn up at any level of the speech planning process and in a number of functions. The aim of this paper is to find out whether the diverse functions of filled pauses correlate with diverse articulations resulting in diverse acoustic structures. Spontaneous narratives are used as research material. The duration of the filled pauses and the frequency values of their first two formants are analyzed. The most frequent form, schwa, shows function-dependent realizations as confirmed by the durational values and by the second formant values of these vowel-like sounds